Artificial intelligence is increasingly being used to analyze political trends, polling data, and voter behavior. Recently, one AI system attempted to forecast the outcome of the 2028 U.S. presidential election by analyzing polling numbers, betting odds, and historical election data.
AI Predicts Possible Winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election
Artificial intelligence developed by xAI has weighed in on who might win the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
The AI system, called Grok, reportedly analyzed polling data, election projections, and betting market information to estimate possible outcomes.
According to the analysis cited in reports, the AI predicted that JD Vance could win the 2028 presidential race.
Trump’s Second Term Ends in 2028
Donald Trump is currently serving his second term as president.
Trump first served as the 45th president from 2017 to 2021 before being succeeded by Joe Biden.
In the 2024 election, Trump defeated Kamala Harris, winning 312 electoral votes to 226 and narrowly securing the popular vote.
He began his second and final term on January 20, 2025.
Under the Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution, a president cannot be elected more than twice, meaning Trump cannot run again in 2028.
Potential Democratic Candidates
The AI analysis considered several possible Democratic contenders for the 2028 election.
Among them were:
- Kamala Harris
- Gavin Newsom
- Pete Buttigieg
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Josh Shapiro
- JB Pritzker
- Cory Booker
- Tim Walz
Polling data referenced in the AI analysis suggested Harris had around 32% support among Democratic voters, with Newsom following at roughly 23.8%.
Harris has not officially confirmed plans to run again, though she has stated she is not finished with public service.
Possible Republican Candidates
The AI also evaluated potential Republican contenders.
Names included:
- JD Vance
- Donald Trump Jr.
- Marco Rubio
- Ron DeSantis
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- Nikki Haley
- Ted Cruz
- Vivek Ramaswamy
According to the AI analysis, Vance appeared to lead potential Republican candidates with roughly 49.2% projected support, while Donald Trump Jr. was listed with about 19.5%.
AI Forecast Suggests Vance Victory
Based on the data analyzed, Grok predicted that JD Vance could defeat Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election.
The model estimated a possible outcome of:
| Candidate | Projected Electoral Votes |
|---|---|
| JD Vance | 326 |
| Kamala Harris | 212 |
However, analysts emphasize that such predictions are speculative and depend heavily on assumptions about future political conditions.
Vance Says Focus Is on Current Role
Vance has acknowledged that he has thought about the possibility of a future presidential campaign.
However, he has said that his primary focus remains on serving as vice president and fulfilling his current responsibilities.
He indicated that discussions about a potential 2028 campaign could happen after upcoming midterm elections.
